Advanced Stats: Cowboys could have redzone success against Jags Authentic Joe Looney Jersey , but third downs will be a tall order Everybody knows that the Jacksonville Jaguars have one of the best defenses in the NFL.This is going to be a challenge for the Cowboys as they look to keep picking up a win for every loss this season. Their hands are going to be full with a Jacksonville unit that is loaded at all three levels. It goes beyond the simple fact that the Jags defense is good, though. Yes, they’re extremely talented, but where are they talented. Thankfully for us we have Bill Connelly’s methodology at SB Nation to pull from. RED ZONE: The advantage could belong to Dallas shockinglyTo start things off we need to talk about scoring points since that’s kind of the point of offense in general. I think, I’ve been watching the Cowboys so I’m unsure.There are explanations as to what each statistic outlined here is and how it’s measured, they’re all over at Connelly’s stat page which is definitely worth your time. Most of them are self-explanatory and in terms of the colors, the more blue you are the better, the more orange you are the opposite. You can also look at the Jaguars offense versus the Cowboys defense (or any combination of two teams across the league), but obviously we’re looking at Jacksonville’s defensive side of the ball versus the Cowboys offense since it’s their strength and our Achilles heel.(Cowboys are the left column, Jaguars are the right) The thing that jumps out right away is goal line success rate. Connelly outlines as follows:The Cowboys are very good at this when they get in the red zone, in fact they’re actually the best in the NFL at it. Jacksonville is near the back end of the league as they are obviously allowing the necessary yardage to be picked up on respective downs in that part of the field.This information is obviously very frustrating given the fact that Jason Garrett didn’t go for it on 4th and 1 in Houston last week Youth Kavon Frazier Jersey , but what it suggests is that the Cowboys are great at picking up short yardage. If Dallas gets an opportunity to knock on the door against the Jags then odds are they’re going to break through it.THIRD DOWN: Jacksonville is very good at thisWhile the Cowboys have a shot at capitalizing if they get inside the Jacksonville 3-yard line (all they have to do is cover 97 yards, no big deal) they’ll likely have to face some third downs in order to do so. Jacksonville doesn’t like to let people past them on third down.(Cowboys are the left column, Jaguars are the right)That’s a whole lot of orange and orange-ish colors on the Cowboys side of things, and almost a totally blue side for the Jaguars. Gulp.Dallas is 17/60 on third downs for the season, but what’s strange is where they are the worst is in the third-and-short category of all places. Here’s how Connelly defines that.It’s actually wild to believe that the Cowboys are statistically more successful at converting 3rd and 1+ than they are at converting 3rd and 1, but it makes sense given how the season has gone. What’s more is not only are the Cowboys not so good at this, but the Jaguars are generally solid at holding opponents. The Cowboys will have to overcome great odds here.BLITZ DOWNS: The Jaguars are going to send pressure, and it normally worksJacksonville is not only very good at every level of their defense, they’re also very fast. It’s hard to beat speed no matter where it is on a football field. Dallas has had trouble moving the ball in general this season so it’s likely not going to bode well if Dak Prescott has pressure in his face when having to do so. Look at where things stack up.(Cowboys are the left column, Jaguars are the right)The way that blitz downs success rate is defined isn’t going to make you feel much better, but for the purposes of the exercise let’s have at it. When blitzes happen the Cowboys are the worst at getting what they want/need. Meanwhile the Jaguars are the second-best in the NFL at it. You can bet your bottom dollar that they’re going to be turning the heat up because of this. The Cowboys offensive line has definitely had better seasons than they’re currently having http://www.cowboysauthorizedshops.com/authentic-anthony-brown-jersey , but they’re still playing like one of the better units in the NFL. This game is going to demand everything they’ve got because they’re going to have to stop the Jaguars and stop them rather quickly or things could get ugly.There are plenty of other statistics to play around with, these are just a few that we thought stood out. Once again I’d encourage you to check out Bill Connelly’s methodology and since I’m a nice guy you don’t even have to scroll all the way back up. Just click right here.Did this information change the way that you felt entering Sunday afternoon? Are you more or less confident in any one particular element of what’s to come?Cowboys have dominated Panthers in the regular season (except for the last game) The last time the Dallas Cowboys faced off against the Carolina Panthers represents a dark memory for Cowboys fans. It was Thanksgiving of 2015. Tony Romo had returned the previous week from a broken collarbone that had sidelined the longtime quarterback for seven games. Dallas won exactly zero of those seven games, illustrating both Romo’s value to the franchise and the front office’s failure to have an adequate replacement on the roster.Still, despite a 3-7 record fans clung to feint hopes the team could sweep the team’s remaining games and sneak into the playoffs. Little did we know we were about to see the end of an era. Things didn’t go well. Romo’s second pass of the day was intercepted and returned for a touchdown. Trailing 13-3 late in the first half Romo was again intercepted and the ball again returned for a touchdown. Finally, late in the third quarter and trailing 30-6, Panthers’ linebacker Thomas Davis sacked Romo, leaving the quarterback sprawled in pain on the field. Both Romo’s and the Cowboys’ season was over. But that’s not all. Fans had no idea at that time, but we had seen the end of the Tony Romo era as he would never again make an NFL start. That game was also noteworthy for the fact the Panthers actually beat the Cowboys. While the Panthers rank fairly low in terms of teams Cowboys fans love to hate, there was a time when the two played virtually every year and Dallas usually came out on top. Consider:Between 1996 and 2007, Dallas and Carolina would face-off ten times (playing every year except 1999 and 2001).Dallas won seven of the ten matchups, including a 7-1 regular season record.Since 2007 http://www.thecowboysfootballauthentic.com/chris-jones-jersey-authentic , Dallas has won two of the team’s three matchups.The Cowboys 0.818 winning percentage (9-2) is the team’s highest against any opponent in the regular season.Unfortunately, Carolina won both of the team’s playoff contests. The triplets’ era Cowboys saw their bid for a repeat Super Bowl (and fourth Super Bowl in five years) fizzle in Charlotte in January of 1997. The 26-17 loss was the first matchup between the two teams. Michael Irvin was injured on the first series of the game, leaving Troy Aikman with Deion Sanders, Kevin Williams and Kelvin Martin as pass catching targets. The Panthers also knocked an overachieving 2003 Cowboys from the playoffs with a convincing 29-10 wild card win following the 2003 season. This was Bill Parcells first season and frankly it was a miracle that he willed a team featuring Quincy Carter at quarterback and Troy Hambrick at running back to the post-season. Otherwise Dallas has largely owned the regular season series. Notable games include:Cowboys 27 - Panthers 20 (1998)Deion Sanders makes a late-game interception to help preserve an early season victory against the Steve Buerlein-led Panthers. Cowboys 16 - Panthers 13 (2000)This rather dull overtime victory was unremarkable except for Emmitt Smith’s 132 rushing yards. Emmitt, at this time, was within shooting distance of the NFL’s all-time rushing record so every game he ripped off big numbers such as this brought his lifelong goal just a bit closer. He would top the 132-yard mark only three more times in his illustrious career. Cowboys 14 - Panthers 13 (2002)This is surely the most unlikely Cowboys victory over the Panthers. Carolina led 14-0 with just under four minutes remaining when the Cowboys took over on their own 20-yard line. Until that point the Cowboys’ offense had generated seven punts, an interception, a fumble and had turned the ball over on downs. So, of course Quincy Carter immediately threw an 80-yard touchdown to Joey Galloway, the Cowboys defense stiffened and then Carter led a 10-play, 67-yard touchdown drive culminating in a 24-yard TD to Antonio Bryant. Bizarre stat: Dave Campo-coached teams went 2-0 against the Panthers and 13-33 against everyone else. Cowboys 24 - Panthers 20 (2003)This was the game that had both players and fans buying into first-year Cowboys coach Bill Parcells’ voodoo. The Panthers were a good team (came within a last-minute field goal of forcing overtime in the Super Bowl) and the two teams engaged in a good old-fashioned Womens Terrance Williams Jersey , hard-fought grudge match. Dallas managed to run the clock out by perfectly executing a four-minute drill. That game, and the entire 2003 season, is well documented in this Deep Blue segment. Cowboys 35 - Panthers 14 (2006)The Panthers ran out to a quick 14-0 lead and things looked dark, however, Dallas would respond with 35 consecutive points for an easy victory. But that’s not why this game is noteworthy. This was Tony Romo’s first NFL start after wrestling the starting quarterback job from Drew Bledsoe the previous week. Romo would go 24-for-36 for 270 yards, a single touchdown and one interception for an 86.6 quarterback rating. Thus, Romo’s first and last starts both came against the Panthers. Hopefully Dallas will continue its regular season dominance against the Panthers this Sunday. What do you think BTB, will we remember the 2018 season opener fondly or will it be a dark memory? Clearance NFL Jerseys
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